Predictions on who will be honored on “music’s
biggest night”, based on a mixture of rumors, critical acclaim, and the
academy’s voters.
Last week, the National
Academy of Recording Arts and Sciences announced the nominees for the
upcoming 2012 Grammy Awards on both a lavish concert special (that was
slightly better than last year’s event) and their official website. Many
of this year’s nominees are new artists, and some of the categories
have been changed, but one thing hasn’t changed: people are already
making predictions. Here’s a look at some early guesses on who will win
in the biggest categories on February 12th, 2012.
Album of the Year
Adele’s
21 vs. Bruno Mars’
Doo-Wops And Hooligans, Foo Fighters’
Wasting Light, Lady Gaga’s
Born This Way, and Rihanna’s
Loud
Adele is one of those rare artists that both critics and music fans
adore. You don’t have to be psychic to foresee her leaving the ceremony
with an armful of trophies, which will include this nod to the
most-lauded album of the year.
Record of the Year
Adele’s “Rolling in the Deep” vs. Bon Iver’s “Holocene”, Mumford
& Sons’ “The Cave”, Katy Perry’s “Firework”, and Bruno Mars’
“Grenade”
“Rolling in the Deep” was THE song of 2011. You heard it in
commercials, on multiple radio stations every five minutes, and
repeatedly covered on TV talent shows.
Song of the Year
Adele’s “Rolling in the Deep” vs. Mumford & Sons’ “The Cave”, Bon
Iver’s “Holocene”, Kanye West feat. Rihanna, Kid Cudi, and Fergie’s
“All of the Lights”, and Bruno Mars’ “Grenade”
Being that this is a songwriter’s award, the voters love to see it go
to a song performed by its main songwriter. Not to mention, it would be
a shame to see it not go to Adele’s modern classic.
Best Pop Solo Performance
Lady Gaga’s “You and I” vs. Adele’s “Someone Like You”, Katy Perry’s
“Firework”, Pink’s “F***in’ Perfect”, and Bruno Mars’ “Grenade”
A combination of the former “Best Male Pop Vocal” and “Best Female
Pop Vocal” categories, look for the best track off of Gaga’s latest
album to take the prize. (Especially after this performance aired on the
2011 Grammy Nominations Concert special.)
New Artist
Niki Minaj vs. the Band Perry, Bon Iver, Skrillex, and J. Cole
This year’s Grammy’s will be another “ladies’ night”, with Minaj
being another big winner. Then again, I wouldn’t be surprised if the
voters chose the up-and-coming country group instead.
Best Pop Duo/Group Performance
Tony Bennett & Amy Winehouse’s “Body & Soul” vs. Foster the
People’s “Pumped Up Kicks”, Maroon 5 & Christina Aguilera’s “Moves
Like Jagger”, the Black Keys’ “Dearest”, and Coldplay’s “Paradise”
A few years ago, Amy Winehouse brought a lot of excitement to the
awards, which helped introduce her talent to a nationwide audience.
Though her promising career was put to an end by her tragic death,
voters still have the chance to honor her one more time, with this duet
with a Grammy favorite.
Best R&B Album
Kelly Price’s
Kelly vs. Ledisi’s
Pieces of Me, R Kelly’s
Love Letter, Chris Brown’s
F.A.M.E, and El DeBarge’s
Second Chance
The academy’s new rules made controversial changes in the R&B
categories, merging “traditional” R&B with the more well-known acts.
So look for one of those lesser-known, critically acclaimed artists to
be honored instead.
Best Rap Album
Niki Minaj’s
Pink Friday vs. Jay-Z and Kanye West’s
Watch the Throne, Kanye West’s
My Beautiful, Dark, Twisted Fantasy, Lil’ Wayne’s
Tha Carter IV, and Lupe Fiasco’s
Lasers
Niki Minaj was one of last year’s biggest success stories. Voters
love to see a woman take charge in a typically male-dominated field, and
given that this album was the introduction to her career, they will
easily choose to honor it.
Best Country Album
Lady Antebellum’s
Own the Night vs. Taylor Swift’s
Speak Now, George Strait’s
Here for a Good Time, Blake Shelton’s
Red River Blue, Eric Church’s
Chief, and Jason Aldean’s
My Kinda Party
Lady Antebellum are the country darlings of the awards, and since
they haven’t had a “Need You Now”-sized hit recently, this is their
category.
Best Country Song
Taylor Swift’s “Mean” vs. Thompson Square’s “Are You Gonna Kiss Me Or
Not”, Vince Gill’s “Threaten Me With Heaven”, Dave Barnes’ “God Gave Me
You”, Kenny Chesney & Grace Potter’s “You and Tequila”, and Trace
Adkins’ “Just Fishin’”
Due to lack of other nominations, the Academy seems to be feeling a
little Swift fatigue, but chances are that they will like this
self-written ode to critics.
Best Rock Album
Foo Fighters’
Wasting Light vs. Red Hot Chili Peppers’
I’m With You, Kings of Leon’s
Come Around Sundown, Wilco’s
The Whole Love, and Jeff Beck’s
Rock N Roll Party Honoring Les Paul
The Foos are Grammy favorites, but haven’t had the chance to be
honored in several years. Look for their first #1 album to also please
the voters.
Best Rock Performance
Mumford & Sons’ “The Cave” vs. Foo Fighters’ “Walk”, Radiohead’s
“Lotus Flower”, the Decemberists “Down by the Water”, and Coldplay’s
“Every Teardrop Is a Waterfall
Mumford & Sons are obviously loved by the academy, as proved with
their many nominations this year. While they won’t take home any of the
big categories, they will certainly pick something up.
Best Alternative Music Album
Bon Iver’s
Bon Iver vs. Foster the People’s
Torches, Radiohead’s
The King of Limbs, Death Cab for Cutie’s
Codes and Keys, and My Morning Jacket’s
Circuital
A favorite of many “best of the year” lists, this award clearly belongs to Bon Iver’s sophomore breakthrough.
Best Dance Recording
Duck Sauce’s “Barbra Streisand” vs. Robyn’s “Call Your Girlfriend”,
Skrillex’s “Scary Monsters and Nice Spirits”, Deadmau5 & Greta Svabo
Bech’s “Raise Your Weapon”, Swedish House Mafia’s “Save the World”, and
David Guetta & Avicii’s “Sunshine”
Call me crazy, but isn’t it likely that the vast majority of the
Academy’s older voters will vote for “Barbra Streisand” based on its
name (and lyrics) alone?